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EARTHQUAKE ›› 2019, Vol. 39 ›› Issue (2): 159-173.

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Agenda Evolution of Earthquake Forecast/Prediction Research: Inspiration from Bibliometric Analysis

ZHANG Yan1, WU Zhong-liang2, LI Jia-wei1,3,4   

  1. 1.Institute of Geophysics, CEA, Beijing 100081, China;
    2.Institute of Earthquake Forecasting, CEA, Beijing 100036, China;
    3.School of Earth and Space Sciences, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China;
    4.Swiss Seismological Service SED, ETH Zürich, CH-8092 Zürich, Switzerland
  • Received:2018-10-25 Online:2019-04-30 Published:2019-08-09

Abstract: In this paper, using Web of Science core database as the data resource, and with CiteSpace as the analysis tool, three issues are discussed based on bibiliometrics, which are ① the development process of earthquake forecast/prediction, from January 1, 1960 to December 31, 2017, ② the decade evolution of research agenda from January 1, 1968 to December 31, 2017, and ③ the main research agenda of earthquake forecast/prediction from January 1, 2008 to September 1, 2018. These analyses could provide references for research on earthquake forecast/prediction and strageties. Our results show that the processes of research on earthquake forecast/prediction have been in dynamic development. Especially, research agenda in each period of time gradually have more diversified growing trend, and tend towards more in-depth and detailed study stage promoted by important events.

Key words: Earthquake forecast/prediction, Citation analysis, CiteSpace, Web of Science

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