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EARTHQUAKE ›› 2002, Vol. 22 ›› Issue (2): 13-16.

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Scaling laws of earthquake live loss rates and its application to prediction in China's continent

FU Zheng-xiang, LIU Gui-ping, SU Sheng-ping   

  1. Center for Analysis and Prediction, CSB, Beijing 100036, China
  • Received:2001-10-16 Revised:2001-11-29 Online:2002-04-30 Published:2021-12-21

Abstract: This paper studied the self-similar power scaling laws of earthquake live loss rates, duringaperiod from 1500 to 2000 for North China, Southwest China and Northwest China respectively. The laws have been used in long-term earthquake live loss prediction. The re searches show that the occurrence probabilities of earthquake live losses of 1000personsor more in North China and Southwest China, and 100personsor more in Northwest China would be 0. 8 or more before 2020 respectively.

Key words: Earthquake live losses, Scaling laws, China ′continent

CLC Number: