Abstract: The article makes retrospect prediction of some prediction methods based on seismology and checking computation of efficiency evaluation of real earthquake prediction. The former may reflect the best potential effect of prediction methods, and the latter shows status and level of real earthquake prediction. Efficiency evaluation of retrospect prediction shows that several methods pass the test and are efficient. Checking computation of real earthquake prediction efficiency cannot pass the test, i.e. whether the prediction with earthquake occurrence and prediction without earthquake occurrence, all methods have not past the test on the confidence level of 15 per cent.

Key words: Prediction method of seismology, Efficiency evaluation, Retrospect prediction, Real earthquake prediction