Welcome to EARTHQUAKE,

EARTHQUAKE ›› 1999, Vol. 19 ›› Issue (3): 223-229.

Previous Articles     Next Articles

ANALYSIS ON THE EFFECT OF SAMPLE CONDITIONS ON THE RESULTS OF LOAD /UNLOAD RESPONSE RATIO

Wang Haitao1), Peng Keyin2), Zhuang Jiancang2), Zhang Yongxian2), Yin Xiangchu2)   

  1. 1) Center for Analysis and Prediction, CSB, Beijing 100036, China;
    2) Seismological Bureau of Xinjiang Autonomous Region, Wulumuqi 830011, China
  • Received:1998-09-21 Revised:1998-10-15 Online:1999-07-31 Published:2022-07-14

Abstract: Based on the stochastic Poisson Model and the Gutenberg-Richestlaw, we simulated a set of earthquake catalog ues, from 300 to 5000 events in each, and calculated how the load /unload response ratio (LU RR), namely Y, varies with time under different sample conditions. The results show that the difference between upper magnitude threshold Mt used in the calculation and the maximum magnitude extrapolated from the linear relation of log N~M has an influence on the distribution of Y. The effect decreases rapidly when the sample size of the earthquake events increases. When the number of events in the sliding time window for calculating Y increases to a quantity of several dozens, and Mt is about MT-1. 5 (or to 2.0), Y gets a much lower probabi lity to be a high value greater than 2. 0. When the above number of events reaches an order of mag nitude of hundreds, and even Mt is about MT -0.0 (or to 0.5), Y also gets a very low probability to be a high value greater than 2.0. This research shows that if the upper magnitude threshold MT is considered when calculating Y from real earthquake catalog ues, the stability of Y and the reliability of its anomalies will be much improved.

Key words: Sample condition, Upper magnitude, Simulating earthquake, LURR