Welcome to EARTHQUAKE,

EARTHQUAKE ›› 1999, Vol. 19 ›› Issue (3): 274-280.

Previous Articles     Next Articles

EVOLUTION OF CHAOTIC AND MULTIFRACTAL CHARACTERISTICS FOR WATER LEVEL AND ITS APPLICATION IN EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION

Li Qiang, Xu Guiming, Huang Yun   

  1. Seismological Bureau of Jiangsu Province, Nanjing 210014, China
  • Received:1998-08-14 Revised:1999-01-22 Online:1999-07-31 Published:2022-07-14

Abstract: Using the observed water level data recorded from 1 July 1995 to 30 June 1997 a t Su20 well, the correlation dimension D2 and o rder-2 Renyi entropy K2 as well as the largest Lya-punov exponent λ1 of the chaotic attractors of the water level system before and after South Yellow Sea earthquake (MS 6. 1) in 9 Nov ember 1996 are calculated and studied with the time-delay phase space reconstruction algorithm. Besides, the generalized fractal dimen-sion spectrum Dq before and after the earthquake is also calculated and studied with the generalized Grassberger-Procaccia algorithm. The research result indicates that the water level system is a chaotic system, the freedom degree of which is within the range of 3~16, and the dimension and entropy of the system declined before the earthquake. It also indi-cates that the left half of the generalized fractal dimension spectrum Dq curve became steep before the earthquake. The conclusion of this research can be of great applicable signifi-cance in recognizing the nonlinear dynamic features of the earthquake precursor observa-tion and in earthquake prediction.

Key words: Earthquake prediction, Water level, Chaos, Multifractal, Generalized fractal dimension spectrum