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EARTHQUAKE ›› 1998, Vol. 18 ›› Issue (4): 337-347.

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APPLICATION OF THE MONTHLY FREQUENCY OF COMPREHENSIVE PRECURSORY ANOMALIES TO DETERMINATION OF SHORT-AND MEDIUM-TERM SEISMICITY

Li Xianzhi, Hou Jiansheng   

  1. Center for Analysis and Prediction, CSB, Beijing 100036. China
  • Received:1998-02-05 Revised:1998-03-02 Published:2022-09-23

Abstract: The precursory data observed before and after the 44 earthquakes occurred during 1975~1996 are analyzed. The research results show that when the seismicity entered into the short- and medium- term stag of earthquake preparation, the monthly frequency of comprehensive precursors, including the far-field precursors, the near-field anomalies and near-field far-field combined precursors are significantly characterized with the following aspects: 1. The cumulative curves of monthly frequency accelerate nonlinearly; 2. Variation rate of monthly frequency is positive. According to the two features, it is easy to distinguish the short-term and medium-term seismicity. The method can be used widely and easily based on the broadly studied data set and the obvious anomalies.

Key words: Preparation stage, Precursory anomaly, Comprehensive precursory characteristics