非齐次复合 Poisson地震发生概率模型研究

Abstract

Abstract: In accordance with the advantages and disadvantages of the existed probabilistic models for earthquake occurrence and the fundamental principle of earthquake estimation,five types of inhomogeneous compound Poisson probabilistic models for earthquake occurrence are developed.The essential characteristics and possibly applied hypothesis of these models are explained.The analytical results of the compound Poison models based on North China earthquake data,indicate that inhomogeneous compound Poisson models may effectively estimate the non-steady process for earthquake occurrence, however,homogenous Poisson models may not do it.

Key words: Inhomogeneous, Poisson probabilistic model for earthquake occurrence, Earthquake risk

CLC Number:

P315.01
O211

GONG Ping. Study of inhomogeneous compound Poisson probabilistic models for earthquake occurrence[J]. EARTHQUAKE, 2000, 20(3): 73-81.

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Study of inhomogeneous compound Poisson probabilistic models for earthquake occurrence

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