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EARTHQUAKE ›› 2016, Vol. 36 ›› Issue (4): 109-119.

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A Prerliminary Study of Subsurface Fluid Precursors and Prediction Index before Strong Earthquakesin Sichuan-Yunnan region

WANG Jun1, SHAO Zhi-gang2, SUN Xiao-long3, WANG Yi-xi4, XIANG yang5, WANG Xi-long6   

  1. 1. Earthquake Administration of Anhui Province, Hefei 230031, China;
    2. Institute of Earthquake Science,CEA, Beijing 100036, China;
    3. Institute of Crustal Dynamics, CEA, Beijing 100085, China;
    4. Earthquake Administration of Tianjin Municipal City,Tianjin 300201, China;
    5. EarquakeAdministration of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region, Urumqi 830011, China;
    6. Earthquake Administration of Liaoning Province, Shenyang 110034, China
  • Received:2015-12-29 Published:2020-07-03

Abstract: In order to monitor situations of MS≥7.0 earthquakes in Sichuan-Yunnan region in the next few years,we systematically analyzed underground fluid precursory anomaly characteristics before MS≥6.0 earthquakes in Sichuan-Yunnan region from 1976 to 2012 from Earthquake Cases In China. Meanwhile,these cases are analyzed by using the research results regarding information characteristics of ground fluid precursors in the Key Projects of the Eleventh Five Year Plan. And then, in-depth analyses of characteristics of the precursory information in the region are also carried out. The results show that there exist some accelerations, coordination of time and space on the mass and other characteristics before strong earthquakes in this area. At last, we have tried to give its adjacent region and summarized the prediction index,and we hope that can provide some statistical bases for earthquake prediction in the future.

Key words: Fluid anomaly, Prediction index, Earthquake prediction, The Sichuan-Yunnan region

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