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EARTHQUAKE ›› 2010, Vol. 30 ›› Issue (1): 61-72.

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Discussion on the Long-time Trend Change Characteristics of Subsurface Fluid before the Wenchuan MS8.0 Earthquake

LU Ming-yong, FANG Zong-fei, ZHAO Li-kui   

  1. China Center for Earthquake Disaster Emergency and SAR, Beijing 100049, China
  • Received:2009-03-11 Revised:2009-05-18 Online:2010-01-31 Published:2021-10-15

Abstract: Long-time observed data of Subsurface fluid from a wide circumferential region of the Wenchuan MS8.0 epicenter is analyzed before the earthquake. The result show that the subsurface fluids have long-time trend changes before the Wenchuan MS8.0 earthquake. The changes are characterized by earlier emerging time, wider range, compatibility and migration toward the epicenter etc. The shape of subsurface fluid long-time trend change is characterized by trend turn, annual variation damage and accelerating variation etc, mostly trend turns. Further comparative study with crustal deformation shows that the long-time trend change migration of subsurface fluid and crustal deformation is identical, and the long-time trend change time of crustal deformation is earlier than that of subsurface fluid. The tensor-pressure variation of crustal deformation is more closely related with the level variation of underground water, namely if the long-time trend change of crustal deformation is the majority variation shape of slow pressure or tensor diminution, then the long-time trend change shape of of underground water level is the majority variation shape of slow elevation or descending diminution. Finally, the productive mechanism on long-time trend change of subsurface fluid is discussed before Wenchuan MS8.0 earthquake .

Key words: Subsurface fluid, Crustal deformation, Wenchuan MS8.0 earthquake, Long-time trend change mechanism

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