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地震 ›› 2002, Vol. 22 ›› Issue (3): 39-44.

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2001年昆仑山8.1级大震及其趋势研究

门可佩   

  1. 南京气象学院,江苏南京 210044
  • 收稿日期:2002-01-08 修回日期:2002-02-06 出版日期:2002-07-31 发布日期:2021-12-21
  • 作者简介:门可佩(1949-),男,南京市人,副教授,2001年硕士生导师,从事应用数学、统计分析、地震预测等研究。
  • 基金资助:
    南京气象学院科研基金资助(2002)

Study on Kunlunshan M8. 1 earthquake in 2001 and the trend of strong eqrthquakes

MEN Ke-pei   

  1. Nanjing Institute of Meteorology, Nanjing 210044, China
  • Received:2002-01-08 Revised:2002-02-06 Online:2002-07-31 Published:2021-12-21

PDF (PC)

摘要： 通过对1996~ 2001年我国西部强震活动在时空上的有序特征及其与台湾强震之间关联性的研究,分析讨论了2001年昆仑山8. 1级大震的重要意义,同时根据有序性分析对青藏块体北部地区未来7级强震趋势进行了预测。

关键词: 昆仑山8. 1级大震, 迁移规律, 有序性, 强震预测, 青藏块体

Abstract: In this paper, the important significance of the 2001 Kunlunshan large earthquake with M= 8. 1, theorderly characteristics of the time and space of strong earthquake activity from 1996 to 2001 in western China and the correlation of strong events between western part of China's mainl and and Taiwan have been discussed. The trend of M≥ 7 events in future in Northern part of Qinghai-Xizang block has beenestimated by using the method of orderliness analysis.

Key words: Kunlunshan large earthquake with M= 8. 1, Migration regularity, Strong earth-quake Prediction, Orderliness, Qing hai-Xizang block

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