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地震 ›› 2004, Vol. 24 ›› Issue (4): 126-130.

• 学术讨论 • 上一篇    下一篇

地震前兆群体空间非均匀性指标Cv值及其应用问题探讨

王晓青   

  1. 中国地震局分析预报中心, 北京 100036
  • 出版日期:2004-10-31 发布日期:2021-11-29
  • 作者简介:王晓青(1963-), 男, 研究员, 1984年获硕士学位, 主要从事地震危险与灾害损失预测研究、 遥感、 GIS应用等研究。
  • 基金资助:
    地震科学联合基金项目(103075)

Discussion on application of spatial inhomogeneity parameter Cv to identification of earthquake precursor group

WANG Xiao-qing   

  1. Center or Analysis and Prediction, CEA, Beijing 100036, Chin
  • Online:2004-10-31 Published:2021-11-29

摘要: Cv值是描述前兆分布非均匀性的一个有效指标。 不同观测指标获取的震前Cv值异常证明了该方法预测地震的有效性。 然而Cv值与观测指标的时间(或空间)分布形式(如周期分布、 准周期分布、 泊松分布、 成丛分布等)并不是简单的对应关系。 文中在回顾Cv值研究与应用进展的基础上, 对Cv值与其分布特征的关系进行了深入分析, 指出了应用中存在的问题, 从而加深对Cv值物理意义的理解。 并给出了Cv值识别前兆群体异常的判别法则。

关键词: 前兆群体, 非均匀性, Cv值, 空间分布, 地震预报

Abstract: The parameter Cv is available in describing the spatial inhomogeneity of earthquake precursory group. The validity of anomaly of Cv obtained from variety of observatory methods before earthquakes has been proved in a certain degree in earthquake forecast, however, the Cv value is not simply corresponding to the statistical distributions such as period, sub-period, Poisson, and clustering one et al. Based on review of research and application of Cv in the paper, further analysis is done on Cv value and its relation with the statistical distributions, especially to the problem existed in the application. The discussion is expected to be comprehensive in the physical implication of Cv . The discriminance to identify the anomaly of earthquake precursor group by using Cv is also provided in the paper.

Key words: Earthquake precursor group, Spatial inhomogeneity, Cv value, Spatial distribution, Earthquake forecast

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