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地震 ›› 2002, Vol. 22 ›› Issue (1): 2-8.

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我国地震监测预报研究的主要科学进展

张国民   

  1. 中国地震局分析预报中心,北京 100036
  • 收稿日期:2001-10-17 修回日期:2001-10-29 出版日期:2002-01-31 发布日期:2021-12-21
  • 作者简介:张国民(1942-),男,上海奉贤人,研究员,国家重点基础研究规划项目《大陆强震机理与预测》首席科学家,1995年博士生导师,主要从事强震机理、地震预报等研究。
  • 基金资助:
    国家重点基础研究发展规划项目《大陆强震机理与预测》(G1998040700)

The main science advance of earthquake monitoring and prediction in China

ZHANG Guo-min   

  1. Center for analysis and Prediction, CSB, Beijing 100036, China
  • Received:2001-10-17 Revised:2001-10-29 Online:2002-01-31 Published:2021-12-21

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摘要： 回顾和总结了1966年邢台地震以来我国地震监测预报研究的主要科学进展,并将其归纳为建立了4个方面的基础,即: 地震预测预报的多学科观测基础;获取了一批中强以上乃至大地震资料的震例基础;建立了经验性预测方法和判据的经验预报基础;初步探索了地震孕育发生的地震预报理论基础。文中还阐述了我国20世纪90年代在长期预报、中期预报、短临预报的预报效能。

关键词: 地震监测, 地震预报, 科学进展

Abstract: In this paper the main science advance of earthquake monitoring and prediction re search since 1966 Xingtai earthquake in china has been summarized. And the main ad-vance can be divided into 4 aspects, namelyestablishment of multidisciplinary observation networks, acquisition of data of M≥ 5. 0 earthquake cases, experience of earthquake pre-diction method as well as exploration of seismogenicmodel and theory. The effect of long-term, medium-term and short-imminent prediction in the 1990s has been also introduced.

Key words: Earthquake mentoring, Earthquake prediction, Science advance

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