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地震 ›› 2000, Vol. 20 ›› Issue (z1): 44-50.

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中国大陆成组强震与强震调制比分析

黎凯武   

  1. 中国地震局分析预报中心 ,北京 100036
  • 收稿日期:2000-06-05 修回日期:2000-06-12 出版日期:2000-09-30 发布日期:2022-09-23
  • 作者简介:黎凯武 (1941-) ,男 ,广东化州人 ,研究员 ,主要从事地壳形变、固体潮的地震预报研究。
  • 基金资助:
    地震科学联合基金项目 (199035)

The strong earthquake group in China's continent and the analysis of the strong earthquake modulation rate

LI Kai-wu   

  1. Center for Analysis and Prediction, CSB, Beijing 100036, China
  • Received:2000-06-05 Revised:2000-06-12 Online:2000-09-30 Published:2022-09-23

摘要: 阐述了中国大陆强震成组活动中反映地球自转和引潮力对强震调制作用的参量—— 强震调制比 ,及其在地震预报中的意义。强震成组活动是中国大陆地震高潮期的主要方式和主体 ,某些强震组强震的发生常常受地球自转和引潮力的调制 ,调制的程度可用一个称之为强震调制比的参数 K 来表示, KrKt 分别表示地球自转和日月引潮力的强震调制比。Kr = Nr /N, Kt =Nt /N, NNrNt 分别为一组地震中 MS ≥ 6. 0的地震总次数、地球自转触发的地震次数和引潮力触发的地震次数。 强震调制比是地震组的一个特征参数 ,它除反映该组地震受地球自转和引潮力调制的强弱外 ,还反映孕育该组地震的地质构造和地震活动时间的某些特性, 因此对地震预报具有一定的实用价值。

关键词: 地震组, 地球自转, 引潮力, 强震调制比

Abstract: A parameter, the strong earthquake modulation rate, which represents the modulation effect of the rotation of the earth and the tide force to the strong earthquakes during the strong earthquake activity in group in China's continent, and its significance for earthquake prediction are studied in this paper. The strong earthquake activity is the basic pattern and feature of the seismically active period. The occurrences of some strong earthquake groups w ere modulated by the rotation of the earth and the tide force. The degree of modulation is represented by a parameter K , w here Kt and Kt are the strong earthquake modulation rate of the rotation of the earth and the tide force respectively. Kt= Nr /Ntotal , Rt = Nt /N total, N total, N r, Nt are the total number of the earthquakes in a strong ear thquake group, the number of the earthquakes modulated by the rotation of the earth a nd the tide force respectively. The strong earthquake modulation rate is acharacteristic parameter. Because i t represents the degree of the modulation resulted from the rotation of the earth and the tide force as well as some feature of the seismogenic structure and the timing of seismicity, it is of some practical value to earthquake prediction.

Key words: Earthquake group, Rotation of the earth, Tide force, Strong earthquake modulationrate

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