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EARTHQUAKE ›› 2022, Vol. 42 ›› Issue (4): 47-59.doi: 10.12196/j.issn.1000-3274.2022.04.004

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Study on Stress Triggering Relationship of Two MW>7.5 Alaska Earthquakes in 2020

ZHOU Yun1, ZHAO Guo-qiang2, WANG Xun2, WANG Wei-min3   

  1. 1. Institute of Geophysics, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing 100081, China;
    2. Institute of Earthquake Forecasting, China Earthquake Administration, Beijing 100036, China;
    3. Institute of Tibet Plateau Research, Chinese Academic of Science, Beijing 100101, China
  • Received:2022-03-22 Revised:2022-06-17 Published:2023-03-31

Abstract: According to the theory of seismic stress triggering, triggering relationship exists between adjacent large earthquakes. In 2020, two earthquakes with MW>7.5 occurred in the subduction zone of Alaska an MW7.8 earthquake on July 22 and an MW7.6 earthquake on October 19, which provides an opportunity for us to study the triggering effect of double-shock earthquakes. Using the near-field GPS coseismic displacement and far-field seismic waveform data, and with different fault parameters, four slip rupture models of MW7.8 earthquake are obtained by inversion; combined with the initial rupture model, the Coulomb stress changes caused by the earthquake at the epicenter of the later MW7.6 earthquake are estimated. The results show that the stress changes calculated by four of the five models far exceed the triggering threshold 0.01 MPa, indicating that the former earthquake has an obvious triggering effect on the latter one. Based on the variation of locking ratio on both sides of the seismogenic fault of the MW7.6 earthquake and the plate subduction rate in the region, it is estimated that the former earthquake caused the latter earthquake to occur 32 years earlier.

Key words: Alaska earthquake, Earthquake triggering, Coulomb stress, Locking ratio

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