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EARTHQUAKE ›› 2020, Vol. 40 ›› Issue (3): 131-141.doi: 10.12196/j.issn.1000-3274.2020.03.010

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Validity Analysis of Geomagnetic Low-point Displacement Based on Amplitude-phase Method

HUANG Song1,2, YAO Li3, JIANG Chu-feng1,2   

  1. 1. Hubei Earthquake Agency, Wuhan 430071, China;
    2. Institude of Seismology, CEA, Wuhan 430071, China;
    3. China Earthquake Networks Center, Beijing 100045, China
  • Received:2019-07-02 Online:2020-07-31 Published:2020-07-28

Abstract: Geomagnetic low-point displacement method and amplitude-phase method are frequently used for short term earthquake forecasting, both of which are based on distortions in diurnal variation of the geomagnetic vertical component. Low-point displacement method is able to extract the duration of anti-phase anomalous distortion, but this method is always with higher false rate and the reliability of each anomaly cannot be determined. In order to deal with this problem, the amplitude-phase method is used to 159 anomalies occurring during 2008 to 2018, and the transient difference area Sx and error C standing for the extent of anti-phase distortions are extracted as a standard to validate the low-point displacement anomalies before earthquakes. The results show that the criteria suggested in this paper makes the accuracy of low-point displacement anomalies related to earthquakes rise from 39% to 70%. It demonstrates the effectiveness of amplitude-phase method and its actual application ability. The statistical results also exhibit the regional differences, in which the ranges and mean values of Sx and C differ before the earthquakes in Xinjiang, Tibet, Yunnan and Sichuan regions.

Key words: Geomagnetic diurnal-variation, Geomagnetic low-point displacement, Geomagnetic amplitude-phase method

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