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地震 ›› 1999, Vol. 19 ›› Issue (4): 403-407.

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海原4. 9级地震前兆异常和预报

赵卫明, 金延龙, 柴炽章, 孙立新   

  1. 中国银川 750001 宁夏回族自治区地震局
  • 收稿日期:1998-10-28 修回日期:1999-04-01 出版日期:1999-10-31 发布日期:2022-09-23
  • 作者简介:赵卫明,男, 1960年11月出生,副研究员, 1986年获硕士学位,主要从事地震分析预报及地壳介质研究工作。

PRECURSORY ANOMALIES AND PREDICTION OF THE MS4. 9 EARTHQUAKE IN HAIYUAN, NINGXIA REGION

Zhao Weiming, Jin Yanlong, Chai Zhizhang, Sun Lixin   

  1. Seismological Bureau of Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region, Yinchuan 750001, China
  • Received:1998-10-28 Revised:1999-04-01 Online:1999-10-31 Published:2022-09-23

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摘要： 1998年7月在宁夏回族自治区海原县发生4. 9级地震,震前根据所掌握的资料和对异常的分析认识,宁夏地震局作出了趋势、中期及一定程度的临震预报,宁夏固原地震台和宁夏固原行署地震局作出了临震预报。对这次地震的地震序列特点、发震构造和震后趋势判断依据及前兆异常的演化过程,特别是对临震异常进行了分析研究,并对预报中存在的问题进行了讨论。

关键词: 地震预报, 地震活动, 前兆异常, 宁夏海原

Abstract: An MS 4. 9 earthquake occurred in Haiyuan County in Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region on July 29, 1998. Before the earthquake, the seismological Bureau of Ningxia Hui Autonomo us Region judged the tendency, medium-term and impending earthquake prediction to a certain extent. Guyuan Seismic Station of Ningxia Seismological Bureau and Guyuan Administrative Office of Ningxia Region have made explicit impending earthquake prediction. In this paper, the features of earthquake sequence, seismogenic structure and the evidence on which we have made our post seismic tendency judgement have been introduced. The evolutional course of precursory anomalies has been analyzed. Especially the discussion has been made on the analytical consideration regarding the impending earthquake anomalies, finally on the prediction succession and problems existed.

Key words: Earthquake Prediction, Seismicity, Precursory anomaly, Ningxia Haiyuan