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地震 ›› 1998, Vol. 18 ›› Issue (1): 1-6.

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地震应急工作遵循的准则及其在地震预报中的实现

火恩杰, 林命周, 赵志光   

  1. 中国上海 200062 上海市地展局
  • 收稿日期:1997-03-12 修回日期:1997-05-19 出版日期:1997-12-31 发布日期:2022-05-10
  • 作者简介:火恩杰,男,1943年4月出生,研究员,主要从事工程地质及自动监测、上海隐伏断层及其活动性等研究工作。

OBSERVABLE CRITERION FOR EARTHQUAKE EMERGENCY RESPONSE AND ITS REALIZATION FOR THE EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION

Huo Enjie, Lin Mingzhou, Zhao Zhiguang   

  1. Seismological Bureau of Shanghai Municipality, Shanghai 200062, China
  • Received:1997-03-12 Revised:1997-05-19 Online:1997-12-31 Published:2022-05-10

PDF (PC)

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摘要： 阐述了地震应急工作应遵循的准则—“社会满意准则”。介绍上海市地震局在1996年11月9日长江口以东海域发生MS 6.0地震时,迅速作出趋势判断的原始依据。由于当时作的趋势判断符合地震应急的科学性和社会性,因而在稳定社会秩序,保障经济活动中取得了较好的经济效益,可供有关方面参考。

关键词: 地展预报, 模糊数学, 社会满意准则, 地震应急, 趋势判断

Abstract: The observable criterion for earthquake emergency response—“Social Satisfaction Criterion ” was described in this paper. It presents the original basis for quickly judging the seismic trend by Seismological Bureau of Shanghai when the“Nov. 9”earthquake with Ms 6.1 occurred in the East China Sea area to the east of the Yangtze River Estuary. Good So­cial result was obtained in safeguarding social order and securing economical activity due to the correct trend analysis and judgement with the nature of science and sociology. It may be of significance for reference in the related fields.

Key words: Earthquake prediction, Fuzzy mathematics, Social satisfaction criterion, Earthquake emergency, Trend judgement