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地震 ›› 1998, Vol. 18 ›› Issue (1): 69-74.

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南黄海6.1级地震前的地震活动性研究

刁守中, 郭爱香, 华爱军, 马玉香, 王红卫   

  1. 中国济南 250014 山东省地震局
  • 收稿日期:1997-04-01 修回日期:1997-07-25 出版日期:1997-12-31 发布日期:2022-05-10
  • 作者简介:刁守中,男,1945 年 6月出生,研究员,主要从事地震学、地震预报等研究工作。
  • 基金资助:
    国家地震局“八五”攻关课题(95 04 02)成果之一

RESEARCH OF SEISMICITY BEFORE THE SOUTH YELLOW SEA EARTHQUAKE WITH M =6.1

Diao Shouzhong, Guo Aixiang, Hua Aijun, Ma Yuxiang, Wang Hongwei   

  1. Seismological Bureau of Shandong Province, Jinan 250014, China
  • Received:1997-04-01 Revised:1997-07-25 Online:1997-12-31 Published:2022-05-10

摘要: 通过应用最大精谱法、有序聚类法和地震活动过程、地震相关性的分析,论证了华东地区正处于1971年以来的地震活动幕后期,具有发生6级以上地震的可能。1996年11月9日南黄海6.1级地震的发生与这一分析基本相符.作者还就地震大形势分析的有关科学问题进行了讨论。

关键词: 地震活动性, 最大捕谱分析, 相关性, 华东地区

Abstract: By using the maximum entropy spectrum method ,ordered clustering procedure ,seis­micity process and earthquake correlatability method, the author proposed that East China is now situated in the late period of the seismically active episode, which began from 1971, and there is a possibility of occurring M > 6 The occurrence of South Yellow Sea earth­quake with M = 6. 1 on November 9, 1996 ,is according to the above-mentioned analysis. In this paper, the relevant scientific problems concerning earthquake trend analysis have been discussed as well.

Key words: Seismic activity, Maximum entropy spectrum analysis, Correlatabillty, East China