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地震 ›› 2000, Vol. 20 ›› Issue (4): 1-6.

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水氡动态图强震危险区预测的新方法

邢玉安1, 王吉易2   

  1. 1.中国地震局分析预报中心, 北京 100036;
    2.河北省地震局, 河北 石家庄 050021
  • 收稿日期:2000-03-13 修回日期:2000-05-18 出版日期:2000-10-31 发布日期:2022-09-22
  • 作者简介:邢玉安 (1942-), 男, 北京市人, 副研究员, 主要从事流体监测及地震预报研究。
  • 基金资助:
    中国地震局“九五”科研攻关项目 (95-04-04-01-04)

The new method of prediction for the earthquake risk area with evolutionary diagrams of radon in ground water

XING Yu-an1, WANG Ji-yi2   

  1. 1. Center for Analysis and Prediction, CSB, Beijing 100036, China;
    2. Seismological Bureau of Hebei Province, Shijiazhuang 050021, China
  • Received:2000-03-13 Revised:2000-05-18 Online:2000-10-31 Published:2022-09-22

摘要: 水氡动态图强震危险区预测法是一种地下流体的地震分析预报新方法。 对该方法做了系统的介绍,其内容有: 水氡基值变化率动态图像的生成方法,水氡变化率高值异常区图形演化与地震震中位置的关系,强震危险区预测的标志与方法。检验性预测结果表明,该方法具有预测效能,可在实际地震预报中使用。

关键词: 水氡, 动态图像, 危险区预测

Abstract: The method of prediction for the earthquake risk area is recently developed on the basis of the evolutionary diagrams of radon in ground water. The paper introduced in detail the process of the new method. It includes the evolutionary diagram of variation rate of radon concentration in ground water, correlation between the evolution of the diagrams in the anomaly areas and the earthquake locality, and the sign and method of prediction for the earthquake risk area. Test prediction shows that the method is effective and can be applied in the earthquake prediction.

Key words: Radon in ground water, Evolutionary diagrams, Risk area prediction

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